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Global Trends
Migrants/ Refugees. December 18
was declared International Migrant's Day by the UN in recognition of
the 150 million persons living outside their country of birth or
citizenship.
More than 124 of the UN's 189-member
nations signed the Convention against Transnational Crime in Palermo
in December 2000; 80 signed the Protocol to Prevent, Suppress and
Punish Trafficking in Persons, Especially Women and Children, and 79
signed the Protocol Against the Smuggling of Migrants by Land, Sea and
Air. Kofi Annan, the UN secretary-general, said: "The trafficking
of persons, especially women and children, for forced and exploitative
labor, including for sexual exploitation, is one of the most egregious
violations of human rights which the UN now confronts."
There are 13 million refugees around
the world, and about 150,000 or about one percent are re-settled each
year in new countries, including 80,000 in the US. UNHCR in 2000
operated in 120 countries, with 5,000 employees and a $1 billion
budget to care for 22 million people around the world, including
internally displaced persons.
Trade/Debt. World trade of $9
trillion a year is growing faster than world GDP, about $30 trillion.
Trade in services is growing faster than trade in goods and the US,
which ran a $450 billion trade deficit in goods in 2000, is expected
to run a trade surplus of at least $80 billion in services trade.
Worldwide, the US accounts for almost 20 percent of the global $1.3
trillion in trade in services.
The United States, Japan and European
and other industrial powers in December 2000 agreed to forgive loans
to 22 of the world's poorest countries this year, fulfilling a promise
to accelerate debt relief and to give a token of the West's
unprecedented prosperity to the poor. About $125 billion in debt is to
be forgiven, but only after countries show that the money not used to
service the debt is used for programs that help the poor. So far, only
one of the 22 nations that have been granted debt relief, Uganda, has
received all the benefits promised- the others are Benin, Burkina
Faso, Cameroon, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Madagascar, Malawi,
Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Niger, Rwanda, São Tomé and Príncipe,
Senegal, Tanzania, and Zambia in Africa and Bolivia, Guyana, Honduras
and Nicaragua in Latin America.
If global warming causes ocean levels
to rise to a projected three feet by 2080, the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change thinks that one billion people could be displaced.
Areas with the most "environmental refugees" include the
west coast of Africa, China, and south Asia.
Dual Nationals. The 20th century
marked the rise of nation states and loyalty to a nation state; the
21st century may mark the rise of dual nationality, being a national
of two or more of the over 200 sovereign nation states in the world.
As more major emigration countries such as Turkey and Mexico change
their laws to explicitly permit dual nationality, the number of dual
nationals will rise.
There are two major ways through which
nation-states define nationality: jus sanguinis (the children of
nationals are nationals) or jus soli (nationals are persons born on
the territory). Since countries differed in which principle they
adopted, for example, Germany adopted jus sanguinis and the US jus
soli, there were conflicts, as when European states drafted for
military service naturalized Americans when they visited their
homelands. In the 19th and early 20th centuries, there were many
bilateral treaties dealing with conflicts that could arise from dual
nationality, and these conflicts gave rise to the 1930 Hague
Convention on Certain Questions relating to the Conflict of
Nationality Laws, which says "every person should have a
nationality and should have one nationality only." The United
Nations' International Law Commission in 1954 repeated this sentiment:
"All persons are entitled to possess one nationality, but one
nationality only."
The policy of one person, one
nationality changed in past several decades. The growing toleration of
dual nationality at the end of the 20th century has been attributed to
several factors, including economic integration, the decline of
conscription, and ending the practice of having a married woman and
her children acquire the nationality of their father. Emigration
nations wanting their nationals abroad to remit funds have also
changed their attitudes, shifting from seeing migrants as
"traitors" to seeing them as economic saviors.
Some people become dual nationals
because of an accident of birth, but many others want to be dual
nationals, electing to keep their old nationality when they naturalize
or seek to reacquire their old nationality if they were required to
renounce it when they naturalize. There are loyalty, convenience and
economic reasons for being a dual national: individuals may feel that
they "belong to" two or more nation states, an American may
want to be, for example, a national of an EU country if to avoid long
lines, and a Mexican may want to retain Mexican nationality to own
land near Mexico's coastlines.
What can immigration countries do to
reduce the growth of dual nationals? Germany has a seemingly tough
policy, requiring foreigners who naturalize to show that they have
renounced their previous nationality. However, there are loopholes,
including for example, persons from states that do not release their
citizens from nationality, such as Iran, or for those that require the
completion of military service before being released from citizenship,
such as Turkey.
The challenges posed by the growth of
dual nationals include the issues that arise with multiple military
obligations, both the obligation to serve in the military services of
two countries and the possibility that an emigrant who naturalized
abroad might return to join the armed forces of his other nationality
in time of war, as some Serbian-Canadians did. It appears that the
growth of the number of persons with dual nationality will require
more cooperation to manage the issues that accompany dual nationality,
including military service, taxation, and voting.
The policy issue is whether dual
nationality should be tolerated and encouraged, with the aim of
working out the problems that arise, or whether dual nationality
should be discouraged. Some commentators stress the benefits to the
individual and sometimes the two nation states of dual nationality,
and stress that problems that arise with dual nationality can be
overcome. Others argue that the problems and conflicts of dual
nationality can best be minimized by reducing the incentives for
individuals to seek dual nationality, for example, differential rights
to land ownership or inheritance or different tax law |